EDGE3 · Risk/Fit Report · Updated April 22, 2026

New Mexico Basketball EDGE3 Risk/Fit Report

Prepared for Coach Olen and Staff

Coach, I pulled advanced per-possession rates on three portal candidates and layered them against your stated thresholds, UNM's 2025-26 roster performance, and the 2026-27 roster churn. Each candidate is graded against a specific open slot — not a generic rate profile.

Candidates: R. Petraitis (CAL) · D. Butka (CAMP) · K. Anya (SLU)
Coach Olen's Gate

Your stated thresholds

These are the five gates you laid out. I measured every candidate against them and flagged where UNM's 2025-26 numbers make each one a live need, not a generic preference.

Threshold Check

How each candidate clears your profile

Career per-possession rates, stacked against your gates. Green clears, red misses, yellow is borderline or small-sample. The same rate across a full D1 career is weighted differently than a seven-game sprint — I've flagged both.

Data gaps & caveats (what the rates can't tell you)
    Per-Candidate Detail

    Per-candidate breakdown + your private read

    What I see from the outside is rates, role, slot fit. What you and the staff see is film, medical, character, culture fit. Each card has a Coach's Private Read panel for that layer — it saves to your browser and exports as JSON if you want it.

    Slot-Mapping Summary

    Which candidate fills which 2026-27 slot

    2025-26 → 2026-27 Roster Churn

    Who's leaving, who's staying, who's coming in

    This is what turns your four rate thresholds into literal roster holes. Departures and incoming commits aggregated from public reporting.

    Confirmed Departures

    Returning

    Incoming

    Open roster slots heading into 2026-27
      UNM 2025-26 Baseline

      Where your thresholds map into UNM's real gaps